Want to know if we can predict the next election or the winner of the World Series? This course gives you the tools to find out. Using real-world data from politics and sports, you ll learn how to simulate uncertainty, test your predictions, and see how well they hold up in practice. No heavy math just hands-on coding in R, smart thinking about probability, and plenty of chances to try out your own forecasts. By the end, you ll understand not only how prediction works, but also its power and limits in explaining the world around us.